Simulating Pliocene Climate as a Blueprint for Future Warming: From Cloud Physics and Ocean Circulation to Extreme Precipitation and Droughts

Ocean and Clouds

Simulating Pliocene Climate as a Blueprint for Future Warming: From Cloud Physics and Ocean Circulation to Extreme Precipitation and Droughts

2022 YPS Grant Project

Three to five million years ago, during the Pliocene epoch—the last time atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were similar to those we will be experiencing in the upcoming decades—Earth’s climate was much warmer than today. The goal of this project is to simulate this past climate as an analogue of future warming using, for the first time, the novel Super-Parameterized Community Earth System Model (SP-CESM). Understanding and realistically simulating Pliocene climate, the closest analogue for future global warming, is critical to trusting future climate projections and to implementing climate policy solutions and adaptation strategies.

Participants

  • Alexey Fedorov

    Professor of Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences

  • Harvey Weiss

    Professor of Near Eastern Archaeology in Near Eastern Languages and Civilizations and Anthropology and the Environment

  • Pincelli Hull

    Associate Professor of Earth & Planetary Sciences; Associate Curator of Invertebrate Paleontology, Yale Peabody Museum of Natural History

  • Juan M. Lora

    Earth and Planetary Sciences

  • Noah Planavsky

    Earth and Planetary Sciences